Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.003574 0.003755 0.003939 0.004143 0.004361 0.004588 0.004842
2025-03-23 0.003214 0.003477 0.003757 0.004079 0.004439 0.004832 0.005295
2025-03-30 0.002983 0.003290 0.003627 0.004025 0.004484 0.005002 0.005634
2025-04-06 0.002838 0.003180 0.003563 0.004026 0.004575 0.005211 0.006011
2025-04-13 0.002641 0.002994 0.003396 0.003892 0.004491 0.005201 0.006115
2025-04-20 0.002547 0.002921 0.003354 0.003896 0.004566 0.005377 0.006448
2025-04-27 0.002494 0.002892 0.003360 0.003956 0.004706 0.005634 0.006891
2025-05-04 0.002397 0.002805 0.003289 0.003915 0.004716 0.005725 0.007119
2025-05-11 0.002317 0.002733 0.003234 0.003890 0.004742 0.005833 0.007372
2025-05-18 0.002243 0.002666 0.003179 0.003861 0.004759 0.005928 0.007609
2025-05-25 0.002216 0.002655 0.003196 0.003923 0.004896 0.006185 0.008080
2025-06-01 0.002159 0.002605 0.003159 0.003912 0.004933 0.006307 0.008366
2025-06-08 0.002097 0.002546 0.003110 0.003884 0.004948 0.006400 0.008616
2025-06-15 0.002025 0.002473 0.003040 0.003825 0.004917 0.006428 0.008770
2025-06-22 0.001962 0.002409 0.002978 0.003776 0.004896 0.006466 0.008940
2025-06-29 0.001923 0.002375 0.002955 0.003777 0.004945 0.006606 0.009272
2025-07-06 0.001837 0.002277 0.002845 0.003654 0.004811 0.006473 0.009169
2025-07-13 0.001805 0.002249 0.002827 0.003658 0.004861 0.006612 0.009502
2025-07-20 0.001793 0.002248 0.002845 0.003713 0.004986 0.006867 0.010038
2025-07-27 0.001748 0.002201 0.002800 0.003675 0.004972 0.006911 0.010226
2025-08-03 0.001710 0.002163 0.002765 0.003652 0.004979 0.006984 0.010467
2025-08-10 0.001674 0.002125 0.002729 0.003626 0.004979 0.007047 0.010692
2025-08-17 0.001666 0.002128 0.002750 0.003683 0.005107 0.007318 0.011295